Comments on: The Sun is blank – no sunspots

By: John A

John A — Sat, 29 Aug 2009 07:50:06 +0000

The answer is that the best analysis of the onset of the Maunder Minimum was that the solar cycle became erratic beforehand.

In this case that didn’t happen, so I think its unlikely. But the Dalton Minimum certainly was preceded by reasonably large solar cycles.

Most truthful answer is that nobody has yet produced a model which explains the prolonged minimum that we are currently seeing.

Interesting times.

By: John A

John A — Sat, 29 Aug 2009 07:46:45 +0000

Boro : And now, is this the onset of a major ice age?? It sure feels like it. Please explain if you can…

No that's just weather. If the Sun really does have a profound influence on the climate of the Earth, then a cool period is ahead of us, complete with expanding deserts, crop failures and famines.

By: Boro

Boro — Fri, 28 Aug 2009 21:02:31 +0000

And now, is this the onset of a major ice age??
It sure feels like it. Please explain if you can…

By: Charlotte Creamer

Charlotte Creamer — Sun, 18 Jan 2009 20:33:56 +0000

OK — let me warn you in advance that I failed all my high school science classes, but nevertheless it occurs to me that were this a “natural” occurence (meaning the cessation of sunspot activity), wouldn’t it happen over a period of cycles, not just all of a sudden? I’ve seen charts of sunspot activity going back 400 years, and the minimums all seem to have been eased into, not to mention that the 20th century was a period of intensifying activity. So why the all-of-a-sudden switch? Am I the only one who thinks “something is rotten in the state of Denmark…”?

By: Dan

Dan — Wed, 26 Dec 2007 20:39:53 +0000

If Landscheidt is to astrology, then what is Hathaway to? Popularity and emotion have little to do with objective science. At least Landscheidt hypothesied as to what causes sunspots, where as Hathaway and many others play with some version of the aa index prediction method. A good analogy of the aa index method is like driving your car forwards only looking at the rear view mirror, it’s ok on a straight away, but curves are problematic. Nature throws lots of curves. Now Clilverd at least has a plausable hypothesis as to the relative strength in periodocity of the cycles using harmonics, but no explanation as to what causes them. The conveyor observations are equally as intuitive as Clilverd’s method, but no explanation of cause.

By: Robert Cook, PE

Robert Cook, PE — Sat, 22 Dec 2007 08:58:27 +0000

Now, late Dec 2007, we are finally getting some activity that represents solar cycle 24. It’s (finally) here.

By: Denise Norris

Denise Norris — Sat, 24 Nov 2007 14:09:46 +0000

Landscheidt remains ignored cause his work is too close to astrology for some and it predicts the unpopular and downright scary scenario of a 60-yr little ice age.

Even David Hathaway, who predicted a low SC25 for NASA about 18 months ago (solar conveyor method), disagreed that barycenter variations could be at the root of long term solar cycles.

By: Carl

Carl — Fri, 23 Nov 2007 01:59:32 +0000

Oh dear … the pollen is still scrambling my brains …

Sorry John A – could you please make those links above proper ones instead of BB code links?

By: Carl

Carl — Fri, 23 Nov 2007 01:53:37 +0000

You will find that plenty of the late Theodor Landscheidt’s material is accessable from my blog [url=http://landscheidt.auditblogs.com/]Landscheidt Cycles Research[/url].

Like Rhodes Fairbridge, he used the motion of the Sun around the Centre of Mass of the Solar System (also called SS barycentre) for his predictions.

Theodor published a prediction that the [url=http://landscheidt.auditblogs.com/archives/17]upcoming SC24 would be very weak[/url] back in 1999, and published another prediction in 2003 that SC25would be even weaker, with the two very weak cycles ushering in a [url=http://landscheidt.auditblogs.com/archives/24]‘New Little Ice Age’[/url] by 2030 that will continue through most of the century.

Theodor Landscheidt had the best track record of all solar scientists I’m aware of when it came to predicting solar cycles, often doing so with remarkable accuracy even decades ahead, and he has also successfully predicted solar flare activity and various climate related phenomena such as ENSO cycles, yet even though some of his work has been validated independantly by mainstream scientists, his work for the most part continues to be ignored.

By: Denise Norris

Denise Norris — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 16:53:58 +0000

Harold:
Look up the work of Theodor Landscheidt on how the changes of the solar baricenter due to alignments of the outer planets affects solar output. The predicted lows and highs in solar output match up with the Earth’s recent climatic events.

Currently, his model is predicting a Dalton or worse minimum at approx 2025.

Denise