(Apologizes to Aristotle and his comment on swallows and summer)

Most of the July sunspot activity is related to one small group which is now disappearing behind the sun’s limb.

Nothing is seen emerging and the sunspot count may again drop to zero.

As one who has followed the travails of the experts trying to first forecast Cycle 24 and then trying to explain the dearth of sunspots, we should not declare the “minimum is over”.

Yes, we have “The One”, but does it mean that we won’t have another period of low or no activity?

It was only a few years ago, that the experts predicted a very intense Cycle 24 based on their “theories” and their proven accuracy in predicting the intensity of Cycle 23.

http://science.nasa.gov/newhome/headlines/ast19oct98_1.htm

“Oct. 19, 1998: Scientists at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center appear to have done a good job of predicting Cycle 23 of the sunspot cycle.

“They expect Cycle 23 to continue until sometime in 2006 when the next cycle, Cycle 24, should begin.” (If you invert the 6 in 2006 … they were correct.)

Too bad the Sun wasn’t invested in the “proven” theory.

No expert predicted the late start of Cycle 24 or the deep quiet phase of the sun in all measurable energies.

We live in exciting Solar times … stay tuned for the conclusion of Cycle 24 … and, if possible, the complete Cycle 25.

After 24 ends and 25 definitely begins, only then will we know the actual intensity or lack of intensity of the enigmatic Cycle 24.

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